Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Useful and obviously the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if that’s what your issue is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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